A Split Nation And A Close Election

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Creative Commons photo by B0CK on Flickr

Presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, running for the 2016 presidency

Laney Nesmith, Ranger Review Reporter

 

After years of anticipation, the United States Presidential Election is set to take place November 8, 2016. America will finally know who the next leader of the country is after nearly a year of waiting.

However, this election may not be as simple as it seems, as the political ideas and the very members of the nation itself appear to be split in two.

For the first time in over 10 years, third party candidates are making their way into major polls and  ballots. Gary Johnson of the Libertarians and Jill Stein of the Green Party have been gaining favor from many voters recently, even polling in the double digits on some sources. Their chances of winning are still slim as the Democratic and Republican candidates still lead in the press and polls.

Another factor to consider is how mixed the survey results are for the debate winners. Three debates have taken place between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, and many websites offer surveys available to take so that citizens can tell who they believe won the debate. The only problem with this set up is that depending on a website’s political stance or inclination, the poll results vary wildly. Some have Hillary as the clear winner while others claim Trump won hands down.

Although this is not to be unexpected based on how many people dislike the candidates based on past “scandals.” The most well known of theses scandals for Hillary are Benghazi and the recent use of private e-mail address for confidential information. As for Trump, his most notable “scandal” is recent reports that he employed illegal immigrants to build his Trump Tower.

Overall, the majority of news and political sites expect Clinton to win the election as she is polling 2.5 points above Trump on average. However, in the past five days Trump has advanced about three points in the polls, which is considered to be a large gain.

In the grand scope of things, these polls and statistics might not mean anything. Looking back at the 2004 polls, the democratic candidate, John Kerry, made a similar spike but still lost the race to George W. Bush.

This year, the election in its whole has been a very controversial matter throughout the entire country, even LP itself because a good deal of the senior class can vote.

Nastiya Fields 12 when asked about the election said that there was quite a bit of buzz. She stated that family and friends have been discussing the election and politics recently, but there has not been any real talk occurring at school.

Fields also said “I’m going to be going into military life, so it [the election] will affect that.”

Fields commented that she doesn’t like the runners this year and doesn’t plan to vote for for president, definitely not for either of the major party candidates.

One thing is for sure: this is definitely going to be a close race. The majority of polls have one of the two major candidates winning by a very slim margin and these still change predictions by the hour. To summarize in a quote from Nate Silver from FiveThirtyEight “Our fundamental hypothesis about this campaign is that uncertainty is high.”